Although the ruling Civic Coalition party bloc continues to hold the lead in polls in Poland, the far-right and anti-Ukrainian Confederation party has significantly increased its support over the past month.
The Wirtualna Polska portal commissioned a survey by United Surveys, which provides evidence of this.
If elections were held soon, 32.3% of voters would support the Civic Coalition, according to the survey. This is nearly identical to the results from a month ago.
Poland’s largest opposition party, the conservative Law and Justice, came in second with 28.1% of the vote. The drop in its support over the month was the largest—almost 2 percentage points.
In polls, the far-right and anti-Ukrainian Confederation party comes third with 16.1%. Its growth compared to January is 3.4 points, which is the largest among all major parties in Poland.
In January, the Confederation gained 13.5% and even then showed an increase of almost 4 percentage points.
If the Confederation maintains its support, it can count on 78 seats in the Sejm.
The liberal bloc Third Way (8%) and the Left (7.6%), whose ratings have remained virtually unchanged over the past month, could also theoretically enter the Polish parliament.
Recently, the anti-Ukrainian presidential candidate of the Polish Confederation, Slawomir Mentzen, visited Lviv, west of Ukraine, on the anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion, where he recorded a provocative video that sparked a harsh reaction from Lviv mayor Andriy Sadovyi.
He and Polish MEP Anna Brylka from the Confederation party recorded a video from under the monument to Stepan Bandera, in which Mentsen said that Bandera was “a terrorist who was sentenced to death by a Polish court for killing Poles during the Second Polish Republic.”
Lviv Mayor Andriy Sadovyi reacted, calling Mentzen a “pro-Russian politician with a Polish passport.” Sadovyi wrote in X that Mentzen should show courage and record a video near the Donetsk stele.
“The pro-Russian politician with a Polish passport, Slawomir Mentzen, should show courage and record a video near the Donetsk stele.
He could go to the front and share his thoughts, in particular with Polish volunteers,” Sadovyi wrote.
Mentzen reacted to Sadovyi’s publication with another provocative statement in X. He said that “I am Polish, and I went to the beautiful and cultural Polish city of Lviv, which was once damaged by Russians.”
At the same time, Mentzen is far from being a leader in the presidential ratings, where Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki from two leading traditional parties are considered favorites.
Observers note that Mentzen, along with his Polish ultra-nationalist statements, is playing along with Kremlin propaganda and spreading Russian narratives among Poles. After all, it has been primarily Russian propaganda that manipulates historical events to denigrate all Ukrainians and spreads the fake about Nazism in Kyiv. These claims were also used by Putin to justify Russia’s invasion and all-out war.
